Tropical Storm Leslie with hurricane-force winds on its final way towards Portugal and Spain tonight

Tropical Storm Leslie with hurricane-force winds on its final way towards Portugal and Spain tonight 10/13/18


The extra-tropical storm Leslie (hurricane force winds) on its final way towards Portugal and Spain tonight, here are the latest NHC graphics regarding its track. Still a very impressive satellite presentation - intense landfall expected in 3 hours. Landfall will be north of the capital of Portugal, the city of Lisbon!


SYNOPSIS Hurricane Leslie is rapidly moving ENE over the Atlantic ocean, undergoing extratropical transition, approaching the Iberian peninsula for landfall tonight. The system is moving just ahead of a cold front, which was also associated with cyclone Callum yesterday. Leslie is currently looking very healthy, with a strong central dense overcast, vigorous convection and hurricane force max sustained winds of approximately 125 km/h. 


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DISCUSSION The system will interact with the cold front behind it and is expected to strengthen significantly just at the time of landfall. Leslie is expected to make landfall around 21-00h UTC about 150-200 km north of Lisbon, Portugal. Peak gusts of 140-180 km/h are expected in the central part of the system, producing a high risk for damage and potentially life-threatening conditions. Additionally, excessive torrential convective and orographic rainfall is expected along the coastal area and inland, with up to 30-60 mm of rainfall over a period of several hours.


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A HIGH RISK has been issued for parts of the west, north and central Portugal and extreme W Spain with the threat for extremely severe winds and excessive rainfall. Peak gusts could well exceed 150 km/h in western Portugal where Leslie is expected to make landfall. MDT/ENH RISKS have been issued for surrounding areas of HIGH risk including whole Portugal and west-central Spain for extremely severe winds and excessive rainfall. An SLGT RISK has been issued for areas surrounding the HIGH/MDT/ENH risks including north-central Spain, Gibraltar,, and SW France for extremely severe winds and excessive rainfall.
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